DKE Aerospace - The Five Model Layers
Enabling & Support

Forecasting the European Space Sector

03/05/2012 308 views 0 likes
ESA / Enabling & Support / Preparing for the Future / Discovery and Preparation

The General Studies Programme has been investigating ways to model and forecast the European space sector for future planning. With the support of the prime contractor DKE Aerospace Swiss GmbH that executed the study, new estimates of the (near- and mid-term) evolution of the European space sector are now possible, both from the supply and the demand sides, together with the identification of possible actions to foster the European space industry competitiveness.

The study covers all ESA Member States and addresses funding (institutional, commercial) schemes, industry and its evolution (manpower, productivity, profitability, structure) and the main activity domains, giving due consideration to the circumstances surrounding the space sector activities (economic cycles, demographics, ecological change).

Denmark, Norway, Sweden and Northern Germany from the ISS
Denmark, Norway, Sweden and Northern Germany from the ISS

Other factors such like dual-use synergies, PPP schemes and downstream demand were taken into account analyzing their specific impact on the space sector. The team has developed a sophisticated dynamics models to derive forecasts based on scenario techniques and identifying the critical impacts, generating the corresponding simulations for the key parameters. In addition, DKE Aerospace Swiss GmbH has prepared reasoned proposals and recommendations to better adjust to the situations considered, in line with Agenda 2015.

For further information please contact:

Antonio Martinez de Aragon
ESA Policies Department
Tel: +33 1 536 97163
Email: Antonio.Martinez.de.Aragon @ esa.int

Andrés Gálvez
ESA General Studies Programme Manager
Tel: +33 1 5369 7623
Email: andres.galvez @ esa.int

For further information please contact:

Antonio Martinez de Aragon
ESA Policies Department
Tel: +33 1 536 97163
Email: Antonio.Martinez.de.Aragon@esa.int

Andrés Gálvez
ESA General Studies Programme Manager
Tel: +33 1 5369 7623
Email: andres.galvez @ esa.int

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